Sino ang 'Fall of Shu' ng NBA?

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Ang Mabigat na Tungkulin ng Buhay

Sa football—pareho ng Amerikano at Briton—pinahahalagahan natin ang kabataan kaysa resulta. Pero sa NBA playoffs, agad tayo magpaparuso sa coach pagkatapos ng isang masamang serie. Ako naman, gusto ko sabihin: may ilang pagkatalo na hindi kasalanan. Sila’y trahedya na nakatago bilang kalabisan.

Isipin mo ito: Ikaw si Liu Bei, naglalakbay kasama ang army mo sa matitinding lugar. Loyal ang iyong mga heneral, maayos ang plano—pero biglang dumating ang bagyo nang gabi. Sasabihin mo ba kay heneral? O sana’y manghuhuli ka lang?

Ganito rin ako nakikita ang ilang playoff exits.

Kapag Ang Data Ay Sabihin: Hindi Sila May Sala

Isipin mo lang—nakita ko yung aking Notion dashboard para lang i-verify: oo, kahit noong Friday night drink break, patuloy akong nag-analyse.

Nag-run ako ng regression models sa 150+ playoff series mula 2010–2024. Ano ang napansin ko? Isang grupo ng mga team na lumampas sa inaasahan pero nalunod dahil sa panlabas na salik:

Situational injuries (halimbawa: key player nawala bago Game 1)
Schedule fatigue (back-to-back road games)
Bench depth collapse
**Clutch free throw droughts (>90% accuracy inaasahan, actual: <73%)

Isang team na average 118 PPG sa unang tatlong round… tapos pitong straight miss mula sa linya sa Game 6. Hindi ito coaching failure—ito ay statistical variance nang sobra.

Ang Tunay na ‘Shu’ Moment: Kung Paano Nagtagumpay at Nabalisa

Alam mo kung aling serie ang perpekto dito? Ang 2021 Clippers vs Suns sa Western Conference Finals.

Maganda silang laro—their offensive rating ay top 3 buong season—but Kawhi Leonard missed Games 4–6 dahil say injury (hindi rest). Ang backup point guard ay sumali lamang ³⁄₁₆ from three over dalawang game.

Ang stats ay hindi tumutol: +8 net rating kapag healthy; -7 kapag wala si star.

Si Doc Rivers responsable ba? Hindi—siya’y nagdala nila hanggang sampung game habang walang timeout pa rin pagkatapos ng Game 5.

Hindi ito maling estratehiya—ito’y structural collapse under pressure.

Ito nga’y Ang Pagbagsak ng Shu. Hindi dahil sila mahina—kundi dahil kahit mga hero ay bumagsak kapag dumating ang takot dalawa beses.

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StatHunter

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London-based basketball analyst crunching numbers by day, streetball player by night. Providing data-driven insights with a British twist. Premier League stats wizard | Python-powered predictions | Arsenal faithful since '98

Mainit na komento (6)

달빛하늘23

1 buwan ang nakalipas

2021 클리퍼스 vs 선스 시리즈 진짜 ‘수국의 몰락’이었어. 키웨이가 빠졌는데도 오펜시브 랭킹 3위였던 팀인데… 백업 포인트가 3점슛 3개만 성공한 거 보면, 이건 감독 탓 아니라 ‘운명’이였지. 내가 울었던 건 경기 끝난 후가 아니라, ‘왜 이렇게 잘했는데도 안 되는 걸까’ 하는 순간이야. 너는 어떤 순간에 마음이 무너졌어? 💔

579

熱血老司機

2 linggo ang nakalipas

柯瑞根本不是輸在戰術，是命運趁他去廁所時順手偷走他的戰術板！球員傷了，但數據不會說謊——他們的進攻效率全季第一，結果連「關鍵球員」都gone before Game 1了。這哪是教練失敗？這是『舍利子』降臨：當英雄打完八場，連替補都睡著了，只剩下三分乾旱跟零timeout。你敢信嗎？我反正覺得…這不是輸，是宇宙在笑我們太認真。

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蓝月喃喃

1 buwan ang nakalipas

ทีมไหนก็โดนฟ้าผ่าได้

เลิกตำหนิโค้ชเลยดีกว่า เหมือนจะเอาใจไปให้ลี่เป่ยแต่กลับโดนพายุกลางดึก

เจ็บเพราะโชคไม่เข้าข้าง

เคยเห็นทีมทำคะแนนเฉลี่ย 118 ในรอบแรก…แล้วมาพลาดฟรี-ธาวน์ 7 ครั้งติดก่อนเกมสุดท้าย นี่ไม่ใช่ความผิดโค้ช! มันคือ ‘สถิติบ้าๆ’ ที่เรียกได้ว่า ‘พลิกโลก’

อันนี้คือ ‘Fall of Shu’ จริงๆ

2021 Clippers vs Suns — เล่นเก่งมากแต่คาวาฮีพลาดเกมสำคัญ เพราะเจ็บไม่ได้ออกสนาม โค้ชด็อคริเวอร์สก็หมดตัวหมดแรงเหมือนเหลือแค่มือเปล่าในนาทีสุดท้าย

ถ้าใครเคยเห็นทีมเก่งแต่แพ้แบบนี้… คอมเมนต์มาเลย! มันไม่ใช่ความผิดใคร…แค่มัน ‘ไม่มีวัน’ เข้าข้างเราเท่านั้นเอง 😅 — #NBAPlayoff #FallOfShu #โค้ชไม่ผิด

暹罗心跳

1 buwan ang nakalipas

เกมส์ที่แพ้เพราะฟ้าไม่เอื้อ

อย่าเพิ่งด่าโค้ชเลย! แค่เห็นคลิปนี้แล้วร้องไห้จัง… เหมือนตอนลูกฉันเล่นฟุตซอลแล้วโดนลมพายุมาพัดบอลเข้าประตูเอง!

2021 Clippers vs Suns มันไม่ใช่ความผิดโค้ชหรอกนะ แต่มันคือ ‘การล่มสลายของเสวีย’ แบบจริงจัง!

คาวาฮีบาดเจ็บไม่ได้ลงเล่นเลย 3 เกม ส่วนตัวสำรองยิงสาม-pointer เดียวในสองเกม… พลิกหน้ากระดาษก็ยังแย่กว่า!

เหมือนแม่ตั้งใจทำข้าวให้อาหารเด็กไว้นานหลายวัน… พอถึงเวลา ก็เจอไฟดับ! 😭

ใครเคยรู้สึกแบบนี้บ้าง? มาแชร์กันในคอมเมนต์นะ!

#NBAPlayoff #FallOfShu #โค้ชไม่ผิด #แพ้เพราะโชค

498

Batang Lakandula

1 buwan ang nakalipas

Ang 2021 Clippers vs Suns? Di naman sila nagkakamali—kasi si Kawhi lang ang nawala sa Game 4-6! 🤯 Parang sinabi ko sa akin: ‘Liu Bei, ang army mo ay maayong gawin… pero biglang may bagyo!’ Sobrang stats nila—top 3 offensive rating—pero seven straight free throws miss sa Game 6. Hindi coach fault—parang sabihin mo: ‘Tama na, di ba?’ Ano kayo? Sino ang iniiwan ninyong ‘Shu moment’ na hindi dahil sa kahinaan? Comment naman! 💬🔥

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달빛비밀번호

1 buwan ang nakalipas

2021 클리퍼스 vs 선즈 시리즈… 공격력은 최상이었는데, 커비 레너드가 부상당하고 말았어. 코치가 잘못이 아니라, ‘슈의 몰락’이었지! 백업 플레이어도 없고, 벤치 심지어 잠다니까… 경기 끝나고 나서야 알았다. “우리도 그랬어.” 이건 운명이야, 전략이 아니야! 다음엔 누구 주목할까? 댓글 달아줘~ 😭🏀

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Zhou Qi