As a former NBA scout turned sports data analyst, I break down the England vs Germany match with cold, hard numbers. While some see it as a meaningless dead rubber, my models reveal intriguing betting angles – from the 'protected' 2.42 odds to why a high-scoring German win (1-3, 1-4) makes statistical sense. Plus: My controversial take on Pachuca vs Salzburg's overvalued position. Grab your coffee and let's talk data.