Why 2nd Round Picks Aren’t That Different from Late 1st: The Real Math Behind Rookie Contracts

As a former ESPN data analyst, I’ve dug into the numbers behind NBA rookie contracts. Turns out, the gap between late 1st and early 2nd round picks isn’t as big as it seems—especially when you factor in playing time, development, and long-term value. Here’s why ‘draft position’ is overrated for young players. Spoiler: It’s not about the title—it’s about the minutes.
Why 2nd Round Picks Aren’t That Different from Late 1st: The Real Math Behind Rookie Contracts