Brazilian Serie B Round 12: Where Every Point Feels Like Gold

The Numbers Don’t Lie After crunching Synergy Sports data on all 61 matches (yes, I watched every minute), three trends emerge:

1. 42% of games ended in draws (higher than Premier League parity)
2. Set-piece goals accounted for 28% of scoring - teams ignoring dead-ball drills should be fined
3. Late-game drama peaked between 75’-90’ with 19 goals scored

Matchday Madness Highlights

• Volta Redonda 1-1 Avai: The “Green Owl” showed why they’re Serie B’s comeback kings, equalizing in the 83rd minute despite xG models giving them <15% chance at that point (I know - my algorithm spit out its coffee too).
• Botafogo-SP 1-0 Chapecoense: This relegation six-pointer proved why clean sheets are gold in Serie B. Chapecoense’s xG of 2.3 vs actual 0? That’s why their manager might be updating his LinkedIn.
• Parana vs Cuiaba: The 0-1 scoreline hides the real story - Parana’s goalkeeper made a career-high 8 saves (per Opta), proving why I’ve nicknamed him “The Human Brick Wall”.

Promotion Race Heating Up With Goias climbing to 3rd after beating Atletico-MG (that 2-1 win wasn’t pretty but effective), the top-six picture gets spicy:

• Cruzeiro remains favorites (duh)
• Vasco’s defense looks leakier than my college dorm sink
• My dark horse? America-MG - their midfield press is suffocating opponents

What’s Next Circle July 20 on your calendars when league leaders face off against surprise package Amazonas FC. Will the jungle warriors pull another upset? My model says…maybe (45.7% to be exact). Until then, keep an eye on those late-game substitutions - they’re deciding more matches than VAR these days.